Social Media Ideas for Prediction-Markets

Best Prediction Market Sites & Apps | Top Prediction Markets (2026)

Prediction markets offer a different way to bet on real-world outcomes. Instead of traditional fixed odds, markets are typically framed as questions with outcomes such as Yes or No...

Who Supervises a Prediction Market? (Farnoush Mirmoeini)

n the first days of January 2026, someone bought heavily into a Polymarket contract on whether Nicol...

Prediction Markets: A New Sentiment Gauge For Traders

Prediction markets leader Polymarket has a daily contract that bets on whether the S&P 500 opens higher the next trading day. Yesterday's contract, as shown below, implied just...

Prediction Market | Definition, Features & How It Works

A prediction market allows users to bet on future events, typically through simple Yes or No outcomes with prices reflecting their likelihood. The post Prediction Market | Definiti...

River Markets Raises $8.5M to Build the First Prime Broker for Prediction Markets

A group of former Wall Street quants has raised $8.5 million to launch River Markets, which the company describes as the first institutional-grade execution and prime brokerage pla...

Independent Prediction Markets Converged on Nearly Identical World Cup Probabilities as Trading Hit Record Highs

Despite operating separate order books, liquidity pools and user bases, Polymarket and Kalshi priced Spain’s chances of winning the World Cup at almost exactly the same probability...

Inside the Prediction Markets: Brokers Double Down as States Challenge the CFTC

Capital keeps flowing into the category through acquisitions, broker distribution, and new sports sponsorships. The legal question of who gets to regulate it, however, is still wid...

Prediction Market Tournaments Reach Prop Trading as Tradeify Attracts 30,000 Participants

More than 30,000 traders took part in a simulated prediction market tournament hosted by proprietary trading firm Tradeify in one of the first examples of a prop firm using predict...

Polymarket: Trade Live Sports - Polymarket

With over 30 million users globally, Americans can now trade on the World's Largest Prediction Marketâ„¢ Polymarket is a federally regulated exchange that lets you trade real-wor...

Should Prediction Market Traders Sell Before the Event?

Take the available price now, or wait for the result and pursue the remaining upside?

Inside the prediction markets: Malta Drafts Rules as Blockchain.com and Jump Trading Expand Their Reach

Prediction markets spent much of the past year fighting legal battles. This week, the focus shifted elsewhere: governments discussed new regulatory frameworks, trading platforms ex...

On Polymarket, Being Right About Dota 2 Paid Less Than Trading the Odds

It paid more to trade Dota 2 prediction contracts than to bet on a winner and wait for The International 2026 to end, an account-level analysis of Polymarket accounts by Predictboo...

Political Prediction Markets: How Election Event Contracts Work

Every election cycle brings a new round of numbers, including polls, early voting tallies and fundraising totals. In recent years, prediction market prices tied to election outcome...

Alpaca Angling for Prediction Market Entry

Alpaca, an API-first brokerage technology provider, is preparing to enter the rapidly growing prediction market space. The fintech firm announced today that it has become a Nationa...

Online prediction markets rile up state lawmakers

CHICAGO — The escalating feud between states and online prediction markets was on full display at a summit of state lawmakers this week as legislators publicly scolded Kalshi and P...

Prediction market users report 79% loss rate in US survey

A new U.S. survey has found that 79% of prediction-market users lost money during the past year, while 51% used borrowed funds to place bets. Prediction market losses rise among bo...

Prediction Market Industry Can Sustain Five to Eight Competitors, Says Creative Expert

The still young prediction market arena is teeming with competition, but the credibility of some competitors and the industry’s ability to sustain a large population are lingering...

Prediction markets see oil pop, Hormuz delay after strikes

Are Sportsbooks Fighting Prediction Markets or Cannibalising Themselves?

Sportsbook operators are trying to defend their core business by adopting the very market structure that is challenging it.Prediction markets have grown large enough that sportsboo...

Underdog Debuts Prediction Market on In-House Exchange

Underdog, the sports gaming company that disrupted daily fantasy sports (DFS), today launched a wholly-owned prediction market exchange, meaning the company can control more of the...

Do prediction market odds equal probability? Not quite

Prices are well calibrated and predictably wrong in five ways: longshot bias, capital lock-up, thin books, fees, and resolution risk.

Prediction markets go mainstream: Are you ready for the client call?

US deal aims to bring regulated crypto predictions markets to retail investors. Canada is ahead of the curve

Prediction Markets Explode in July as World Cup Fueled $54B in Trades

The 2026 FIFA World Cup pushed prediction markets into one of the fastest-growing corners of finance, driving record trading volume, fees, transactions, and open interest as millio...

tastytrade Launches Prediction Markets, Targeting Traders Over Bettors

Retail brokerage tastytrade has officially entered the prediction market space, offering CFTC-regulated event contracts tailored specifically for active financial traders. The Chic...