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$4,523 billion - the total trading volume on Polymarket in March 2026. Prediction markets have recently experienced a surge in the value of trades executed, and big names like Poly...
$4,523 billion - the total trading volume on Polymarket in March 2026. Prediction markets have recently experienced a surge in the value of trades executed, and big names like Poly...
Prediction markets let people trade on real-world outcomes such as elections, sports, crypto prices,...
Have you noticed how often polls and experts get major events wrong? There’s a growing alternative gaining serious attention: prediction markets. Platforms like Polymarket and Kals...
Prediction markets are moving into new distribution channels faster than regulators can agree on what they are. This week, Polymarket pushed further abroad while questions grew ov...
The Guardian has an interesting article on prediction markets. There are the usual worries about betting on death, as if insurance markets don’t already exist and about insider tra...
This week, Interactive Brokers integrated contracts from Kalshi, CME Group, and ForecastEx into a single trading platform for retail and institutional clients. At the same time, th...
Most markets today stop at one question:Continue reading on Medium »
Prediction markets have been harshly criticized over claims of insider trading and illegal gambling practices, leading to politicians and media demonizing them wholesale. Are their...
Prediction markets have drawn increased attention from regulators, courts and market participants as they expand into elections, politics, sports, finance and other events. Beyond...
Prediction markets are platforms where individuals can place bets on the outcome of future events through buying and selling shares in the possible outcomes. These prediction marke...
How prediction-market ‘sharps’ have made millions wagering on everything from war to Rotten Tomatoes.
Polymarket is moving prediction markets into private companies, launching new contracts tied to valuation milestones, IPO timing, and secondary market activity through an agreement...
The prominence of prediction markets in the public eye has exploded over the last two years. Until recently, however, there has been no clear legal path for their operation in Cana...
Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi now clear nearly $24b a month as AI bots, Wall Street capital and new CFTC rules drag the sector into mainstream finance. Prediction m...
Prediction markets are online platforms where people trade contracts based on the outcome of future ...
The entry of players such as Citadel Securities would indicate that prediction markets are gaining greater traction in the finance industry even as legal uncertainties around the b...
The entry of players such as Citadel Securities would indicate that prediction markets are gaining greater traction in the finance industry even as legal uncertainties around the b...
Prediction markets have become a jurisdictional fight. Federal regulators and U.S. states are now openly contesting who has the authority to oversee these markets — and, by extens...
Our latest briefing note on prediction markets and key developments in the US is now available here. Continue Reading
The CFTC has closed public comment on its proposed prediction market rule, receiving more than 1,500 responses. What came back was not a policy debate but a structural deadlock:...
Even amid national controversy, lawsuits, and new legislation aimed to curb their growth, prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket have only continued to grow in popularity. P...
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