Can prediction markets create the future they predict?
Prediction market platforms allow people to bet on real-world events like politics, culture, economics, war, and sports. Their defining feature is the buying and selling of contrac...
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Prediction market platforms allow people to bet on real-world events like politics, culture, economics, war, and sports. Their defining feature is the buying and selling of contrac...
As prediction markets surge in popularity, a new platform called Verifact Markets is pushing the concept even further, letting users trade on “disputed facts.”
Prediction markets offer a different way to bet on real-world outcomes. Instead of traditional fixed odds, markets are typically framed as questions with outcomes such as Yes or No...
Prediction markets take wagers on coming events. Supporters tout them for forecasting; critics warn they encourage speculation and manipulation
Here is everything you need to know about four major prediction markets and which states each of them is legal in, along with additional information.
A new platform turns disputed facts into tradable markets, flipping the prediction market model on its head
A prediction market allows users to bet on future events, typically through simple Yes or No outcomes with prices reflecting their likelihood. The post Prediction Market | Definiti...
With over 30 million users globally, Americans can now trade on the World's Largest Prediction Marketâ„¢ Polymarket is a federally regulated exchange that lets you trade real-wor...
In recent years, prediction markets have become an increasingly prominent part of the financial industry. On these platforms, users trade contracts whose value depends on the proba...
Prediction markets have taken off in popularity, drawing billions of dollars in trades. Some states have tried to ban them.
“The slow decline of traditional polling has left politicos, who are always desperate for numbers, in a lurch,” NOTUS reports. “Two venture-backed prediction market companies are o...
A group of former Wall Street quants has raised $8.5 million to launch River Markets, which the company describes as the first institutional-grade execution and prime brokerage pla...
They misfired during America’s primaries—but not in the way you might think
Every election cycle brings a new round of numbers, including polls, early voting tallies and fundraising totals. In recent years, prediction market prices tied to election outcome...
Polymarket International generated more than $220 million in trading volume across approximately 31,000 equity-linked markets between October 2025 and early September 2026.London's...
Kalshi, Polymarket and the Coalition for Prediction Markets have spent at least $3 million this year on lobbying and campaign contributions across the federal and state levels, acc...
No one used to argue about the phrase “insider trading.” For decades, those two words connoted a transgression, a crime, something unambiguously tainted. But lately, with the me...
Take the available price now, or wait for the result and pursue the remaining upside?
Kalshi, Polymarket and the Coalition for Prediction Markets have spent at least $3 million this year on lobbying and campaign contributions across the federal and state levels, acc...
Annual prediction-market volume could reach $10 trillion by 2035 as contracts linked to cryptocurrencies, equities and commodities take a larger share of trading, according to Bern...
It paid more to trade Dota 2 prediction contracts than to bet on a winner and wait for The International 2026 to end, an account-level analysis of Polymarket accounts by Predictboo...
US deal aims to bring regulated crypto predictions markets to retail investors. Canada is ahead of the curve
A new U.S. survey has found that 79% of prediction-market users lost money during the past year, while 51% used borrowed funds to place bets. Prediction market losses rise among bo...
The NBA is finalizing multiple prediction-market partnerships ahead of the 2026-27 regular season, with active deal terms already under discussion. League officials have been explo...
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