Can prediction markets create the future they predict?
Prediction market platforms allow people to bet on real-world events like politics, culture, economics, war, and sports. Their defining feature is the buying and selling of contrac...
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Prediction market platforms allow people to bet on real-world events like politics, culture, economics, war, and sports. Their defining feature is the buying and selling of contrac...
As prediction markets surge in popularity, a new platform called Verifact Markets is pushing the concept even further, letting users trade on “disputed facts.”
Prediction markets take wagers on coming events. Supporters tout them for forecasting; critics warn they encourage speculation and manipulation
Here is everything you need to know about four major prediction markets and which states each of them is legal in, along with additional information.
Prediction markets have stopped behaving like a betting curiosity and started behaving like market infrastructure.Executives who still file them under gambling are working from a s...
A new platform turns disputed facts into tradable markets, flipping the prediction market model on its head
With over 30 million users globally, Americans can now trade on the World's Largest Prediction Marketâ„¢ Polymarket is a federally regulated exchange that lets you trade real-wor...
Prediction markets want you to see them (and use them) as one of the best possible instruments for finding out what’s happening in the world. Open any election market, and you’re i...
In recent years, prediction markets have become an increasingly prominent part of the financial industry. On these platforms, users trade contracts whose value depends on the proba...
Prediction markets are in desperate need of clear, coherent communication. The basics: What they are...
Prediction markets have taken off in popularity, drawing billions of dollars in trades. Some states have tried to ban them.
“The slow decline of traditional polling has left politicos, who are always desperate for numbers, in a lurch,” NOTUS reports. “Two venture-backed prediction market companies are o...
They misfired during America’s primaries—but not in the way you might think
Every election cycle brings a new round of numbers, including polls, early voting tallies and fundraising totals. In recent years, prediction market prices tied to election outcome...
Polymarket International generated more than $220 million in trading volume across approximately 31,000 equity-linked markets between October 2025 and early September 2026.London's...
Kalshi, Polymarket and the Coalition for Prediction Markets have spent at least $3 million this year on lobbying and campaign contributions across the federal and state levels, acc...
No one used to argue about the phrase “insider trading.” For decades, those two words connoted a transgression, a crime, something unambiguously tainted. But lately, with the me...
With Election Day just three weeks away, prediction market operators are counting on surging volume in political event contracts, but many voters oppose those derivatives. A Reuter...
Kalshi, Polymarket and the Coalition for Prediction Markets have spent at least $3 million this year on lobbying and campaign contributions across the federal and state levels, acc...
Annual prediction-market volume could reach $10 trillion by 2035 as contracts linked to cryptocurrencies, equities and commodities take a larger share of trading, according to Bern...
It paid more to trade Dota 2 prediction contracts than to bet on a winner and wait for The International 2026 to end, an account-level analysis of Polymarket accounts by Predictboo...
The NBA is finalizing multiple prediction-market partnerships ahead of the 2026-27 regular season, with active deal terms already under discussion. League officials have been explo...
With Election Day two weeks away, voters are being inundated with polling information and prediction market data is increasingly part of that landscape, but voters don’t like that....
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