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Have you noticed how often polls and experts get major events wrong? There’s a growing alternative gaining serious attention: prediction markets. Platforms like Polymarket and Kals...
Prediction markets are moving into new distribution channels faster than regulators can agree on what they are. This week, Polymarket pushed further abroad while questions grew ov...
Outpoll introduces a new global prediction market platform that enables users to trade on the outcomes of real-world events. Categories include, but are not limited to, politics, s...
Platforms like Kalshi let millions wager on sports and pop culture. They’re now hoping institutions will use them for big-ticket trading like hedging.
Wintermute Trading confirmed it is now providing continuous, two-sided liquidity across major prediction market platformsю This is the latest institutional market maker to move int...
Arin Dube points to a great illustration of the power of prediction markets. Yesterday due to a new scandal the probability that Graham Platner would drop out of the Maine Democrat...
With a record-breaking $29.4 billion in trading volume in May, prediction markets are expanding faster than the infrastructure supporting them. But the gap is closing. Retail broke...
Prediction markets have been harshly criticized over claims of insider trading and illegal gambling practices, leading to politicians and media demonizing them wholesale. Are their...
The oracle is an elaborate Web 3.0 contraption that combines cryptocurrency, voting and game theory in its goal to produce fair judgments. It’s billed by its creators, a company ba...
Prediction markets spent the week facing a familiar mix of growth and resistance. A dispute over Polymarket’s Iran market reignited questions about how event contracts should be s...
Prediction markets have quietly become one of the most interesting corners of the tech world. From f...
Prediction markets continued moving into mainstream financial infrastructure this week, even as the legal battle over who gets to regulate them intensified. The CFTC and several U...
Prediction markets crossed another milestone in June, surpassing $50 billion in monthly trading volume for the first time. The same week, European regulators initiated a new coordi...
Prediction markets have moved from the fringes of the internet into mainstream financial and technol...
How prediction-market ‘sharps’ have made millions wagering on everything from war to Rotten Tomatoes.
Online prediction markets are taking bets on everything from climate change to quantum computing. But researchers question their accuracy
Prediction market transparency is under scrutiny as decentralized platforms like Rain Trade promote open market creation and broader user participation. Over the past several years...
Polymarket is moving prediction markets into private companies, launching new contracts tied to valuation milestones, IPO timing, and secondary market activity through an agreement...
Prediction markets continue to expand into new products, new distribution channels, and new regulatory frameworks. This week brought developments across all three. Kalshi Looks B...
Critics call platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi online casinos, where insider trading runs rampant.
On Kalshi and Polymarket, users are placing bold bets on valuations, timelines, and tickers—before OpenAI or Anthropic goes public.
Prediction markets have gained attention in recent years as more people explore new ways to think about future events and public expectations. While the concept may sound complex a...
Prediction markets surpassed $50 billion in monthly trading volume for the first time in June, with activity jumping 75% from May, according to Artemis data. The milestone coincide...
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