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Recent items include:
- Calibration Nobel
- “Over-coverage caught by pre-registration: 47 of 56 inside a stated 50% interval”
- CV calibration and MBO
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statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu
/1 month ago
“Over-coverage caught by pre-registration: 47 of 56 inside a stated 50% interval”
Alex Malinowski has a question about evaluating the calibration of interval forecasts: We publish interval forecasts under a pre-registration scheme: each forecast is serialised, h...
cafepharma.com
/1 month ago
CV calibration and MBO
CV calibration and MBO Anonymous (not verified) Sat, 08/08/2026 - 00:30 field_thread_url https://cafepharma.com/boards/threads/cv-calibration-and-mbo.71694...
cafepharma.com
/1 month ago
CV calibration and MBO
CV calibration and MBO Anonymous (not verified) Thu, 08/06/2026 - 00:29 field_thread_url https://cafepharma.com/boards/threads/cv-calibration-and-mbo.71694...
medium.com
/2 weeks ago
Calibrating AI Judges: Meta-Evaluation, Agreement, and Observability in LLM-as-a-Judge Systems
Moving beyond naive accuracy with agreement statistics, calibration analysis, error profiling, and evaluator observability.Continue reading on Medium »
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu
/1 month ago
Survey Statistics: equivalent models, equivalent weights (locally)
Last month we saw that the Times/Siena Poll is now using energy balancing weights (Huling & Mak, 2024). In a toy example, we saw under which outcome models these weighting meth...
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cafepharma.com
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medium.com
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statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu
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xkcd.com
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