Business Cycle Indicators as of End-June
Personal income, consumption, slightly above consensus; manufacturing and trade industry sales (April), and 3rd release GDO: Figure 1: NFP employment (bold blue), civilian employme...
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Personal income, consumption, slightly above consensus; manufacturing and trade industry sales (April), and 3rd release GDO: Figure 1: NFP employment (bold blue), civilian employme...
Philadelphia Fed national index, plus consensus on May ADP employment: Figure 1: Civilian employment adjusted to NFP concept smoothed population controls (bold orange), manufacturi...
STR analysis finds credit utilization and income band data outperform GDP and inflation as demand predictors for luxury and economy hotel segments, pointing to increasingly fragmen...
NFP underwhelms and prior months revised downward, civilian employment and civilian employment adjusted to NFP concept moving downward. Figure 1: NFP employment (bold blue), civili...
IP at 0.1% m/m vs. 0.3% consensus. Figure 1: NFP employment (bold blue), civilian employment with smoothed population controls (bold orange), industrial production (red), personal...
The course of the Greek economy can be assessed from different perspectives. Most useful indicators refer to the grand total or the averages. Fiscally, state coffers are performing...
Gallup index falls to -45 even as Conference Board's leading indicator edges up in April
Friday release of May employment (labor force survey): Figure 1: Monthly employment from Labor Force survey (blue), nonfarm payroll employmet from Survey of Payroll, Employment and...
The article presents the key macroeconomic indicators of Ukraine and the global economy as of the end of February 2026.
Coincident continues to rise through May, while Bloomberg consensus for NFP growth is for +114K, roughly same growth rate as in May: Figure 1: Civilian employment adjusted to NFP c...
Not standard NBER BCDC indicators, but still interesting. First, all measures of personal income (pretax, aftertax) are down while consumption growth slows. Figure 1: Consumption (...
By Prof. Lubinda Haabazoka When a patient walks into a hospital, the first thing a doctor does is not prescribe medication. Instead, the doctor conducts an examination by checking...
Will people think things will get back to normal soon, per NEC Chair Hassett (fm ABC News)? “Well, look, in the end, people look at their wallets and they decide how to vote, and i...
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To limit the economic shock, India has raised fuel prices, curbed gold imports and tightened currency-market rules
Here’re some business cycle indicators with deflated retail sales: Figure 1: Civilian employment adjusted to NFP concept smoothed population controls (bold orange), manufacturing p...
Real consumption upside surprise, but large personal income ex-transfers downside surprise, plus downward revisions (along with Q1 GDP downward revision). Figure 1: NFP employment...
ZAMBIA’S economy recorded encouraging progress in May, with key economic indicators pointing to improved stability and resilience, Kelvin Chisanga has said. Mr Chisanga, an econo...
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