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$4,523 billion - the total trading volume on Polymarket in March 2026. Prediction markets have recently experienced a surge in the value of trades executed, and big names like Poly...
$4,523 billion - the total trading volume on Polymarket in March 2026. Prediction markets have recently experienced a surge in the value of trades executed, and big names like Poly...
Prediction markets are moving into new distribution channels faster than regulators can agree on what they are. This week, Polymarket pushed further abroad while questions grew ov...
Prediction markets let people trade on real-world outcomes such as elections, sports, crypto prices,...
Most markets today stop at one question:Continue reading on Medium »
Prediction markets have become a jurisdictional fight. Federal regulators and U.S. states are now openly contesting who has the authority to oversee these markets — and, by extens...
This week, Interactive Brokers integrated contracts from Kalshi, CME Group, and ForecastEx into a single trading platform for retail and institutional clients. At the same time, th...
Two courts, one regulator, one week — the jurisdictional battle over who controls these markets moved to the center. On Wednesday, CFTC Chairman Michael Selig sat before the House...
The entry of players such as Citadel Securities would indicate that prediction markets are gaining greater traction in the finance industry even as legal uncertainties around the b...
The entry of players such as Citadel Securities would indicate that prediction markets are gaining greater traction in the finance industry even as legal uncertainties around the b...
Prediction markets are gaining renewed attention as financial systems increasingly explore alternati...
Our latest briefing note on prediction markets and key developments in the US is now available here. Continue Reading
Primary market does not need special dispensation
Wintermute is moving into prediction markets as institutional market makers race to dominate event contracts that already clear more than $20 billion a month. Wintermute, one of cr...
The United States stock market has been hovering near record highs and oil prices have plunged amid new hope that a ceas...
The companies listed in the U.S. have a greater total market capitalization than in the next nine largest markets combined.
As prediction markets move into the mainstream, MEXC’s Vugar Usi forecasts that the next competitive edge for exchanges will be the ability to price real-world catalysts. In a mark...
Prediction markets are finding early adopters in capital markets across brokers, exchanges, market makers, and infrastructure providers. Activity is most visible on the sell side,...
A belief in resilience underwritten by big lasting state support is keeping stocks high
Wintermute has entered prediction markets as a liquidity provider, bringing professional market-making capacity to a sector that has grown into a major venue for trading real-world...
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