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From Ingar Haaland: With math essentially being delegated to OpenAI, here’s what I predict for economics and the social sciences more generally: The top tier of research will just...
It’s the political economy seminar at Stanford business school, Wed 14 Oct at noon in room M109: Lagged regression, difference in differences, two way fixed effects, regression dis...
Recent releases: Figure 1: Reported GDP (bold black), October WSJ mean forecast (blue), GDPNow (light blue square), NY Fed nowcast (red *), October WEO (tan +). Source: BEA 2026Q2...
We introduce an open-source workflow that enables an LLM to reproduce, improve, and extend an economics article using the article’s published replication package. First, the workfl...
Here is the link. The post The top private sector employers of economics graduates appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION.
Jonathan Falk points to this post by Nicholas Decker and writes: I thought you’d be interested in a couple of things in this. First, the regression discontinuity pictures and Decke...
Looking pretty good — although one needs to wonder about analysts’ estimates of forward earnings… Source: Yardeni.com, accessed 22.10.2026. Compare against CAPE:
I expect that many economists who might happen to read what follows would say that I present a caricature of the discipline. That may be so, or partly so, but unfortunately it’s a...
Kalshi Research is doing interesting work on the fundamentals of prediction markets and also on how data from prediction markets can be used to improve other forecasts. Economists...
Nandita Mitra is giving a webinar this Tuesday at noon with the above title and the following abstract: Statisticians develop methods with the hope that they will ultimately inform...
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