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5 Markets Getting Pummeled Right Now

Market Update: SW

Earnings Strength And Easing Risks Support Markets

Beyond The Deadline: What Markets Are Still Not Pricing In

AM Markets Need to Know: China's lithium dominance, oil prices fall, and more

The Most Intriguing Market Dynamic

Inside the Prediction Markets: Polymarket Pushes Abroad as Sporttrade Drops Sportsbooks

Prediction markets are moving into new distribution channels faster than regulators can agree on what they are. This week, Polymarket pushed further abroad while questions grew ov...

Wintermute pushes into prediction markets with $20b monthly volumes

Wintermute is moving into prediction markets as institutional market makers race to dominate event contracts that already clear more than $20 billion a month. Wintermute, one of cr...

Inside the Prediction Markets: Who Controls the Trade

Prediction markets have become a jurisdictional fight. Federal regulators and U.S. states are now openly contesting who has the authority to oversee these markets — and, by extens...

What Moved Markets This Week

Prediction markets at a crossroads: Preemption, enforcement and rulemaking

Our latest briefing note on prediction markets and key developments in the US is now available here. Continue Reading

Inside the Prediction Markets: Courts Weigh State Crackdown as Trading Hits $6.5B

Two courts, one regulator, one week — the jurisdictional battle over who controls these markets moved to the center. On Wednesday, CFTC Chairman Michael Selig sat before the House...

Where Are Prediction Markets Legal? Polymarket, Kalshi, and Pariflow Availability by Country (Artem Goryushin)

Prediction markets let people trade on real-world outcomes such as elections, sports, crypto prices,...

Inside the Prediction Markets: Interactive Brokers Starts “Trading the Future” as SEC Stalls ETF Plans

This week, Interactive Brokers integrated contracts from Kalshi, CME Group, and ForecastEx into a single trading platform for retail and institutional clients. At the same time, th...

Market Update: CB, RTX, KDP, DLR

Prediction markets sprint from crypto niche to mainstream finance

Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi now clear nearly $24b a month as AI bots, Wall Street capital and new CFTC rules drag the sector into mainstream finance. Prediction m...

Citadel Securities looks at prediction markets as trading scales

The entry of players such as Citadel Securities would indicate that prediction markets are gaining greater traction in the finance industry even as legal uncertainties around the b...

Citadel Securities looks at prediction markets as trading scales

The entry of players such as Citadel Securities would indicate that prediction markets are gaining greater traction in the finance industry even as legal uncertainties around the b...

Market Digest: GS, PNW, APP

Inside the Prediction Markets: Kalshi Raises $1B as Regulatory Tensions Escalate

Kalshi raised $1 billion this week at a $22 billion valuation, one of the largest financings yet in prediction markets. At the same time, the CFTC closed its public comment window...

Market Digest: GS, PNW, APP

Market Update: CCI, BA, BYD, NEE, INTC, LRCX, MAS, NOK, ROP

Prediction Markets Tell You What Might Happen. Opportunity Markets Tell You What To Do Next

Most markets today stop at one question:Continue reading on Medium »