Latest updates for Bayesian Tragedy

Fresh curated links around Bayesian tragedy are collected here so marketers can spot useful updates and turn timely ideas into posts faster.

Recent items include:

  • Ruling out weather in Bayesian disaster
  • The Bayesian Did Not Sink Because of the Storm. It Sank instead Because of the Crew.
  • No, Bayes does not like Mayor Pete. (Pitfalls of using implied betting market odds to estimate electability.)

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Recent curated links from global sources. Generate one free draft from any story, then use SocialBu to schedule and refine your content calendar.

sailingscuttlebutt.com /4 weeks ago

Ruling out weather in Bayesian disaster

In August 2024, the 184-foot luxury yacht Bayesian sank in a storm at anchor off the Sicilian coast. Nearly two years later, blame is being decided. Report by Peter Swanson for Loo...

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wantedinrome.com /3 weeks ago

The Bayesian Did Not Sink Because of the Storm. It Sank instead Because of the Crew.

Nearly Two Years On, Expert Analysis Points to Human Error as the Primary Cause of the Sinking That Killed Seven. Nearly two years after the Bayesian sank off the coast of Sicily...

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statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu /3 days ago

No, Bayes does not like Mayor Pete. (Pitfalls of using implied betting market odds to estimate electability.)

This one’s from 2019, but it’s worth reposting given recent interest in prediction markets. The story starts with a post from economist Greg Mankiw, who wrote: Who has the best cha...

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maritime-executive.com /3 weeks ago

Prosecutors' Report Faults Bayesian's Crew for Sinking

 The capsizing of the glamorous superyacht Bayesian was one of the most high-profile marine casualties of 2024, and multiple disputes over the cause o...

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tanea.gr /4 weeks ago

Ανατροπή με το Bayesian: Το ναυάγιο δεν οφείλεται στην κακοκαιρία – Στο «μικροσκόπιο» ανθρώπινα λάθη

Η βύθιση του υπερπολυτελούς σούπερ γιοτ Bayesian δεν προκλήθηκε από καταιγίδα, σύμφωνα με τους ερευνητές, οι οποίοι αποδίδουν πλέον την τραγωδία σε ανθρώπινο λάθος του πληρώματος....

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stuff.co.nz /4 weeks ago

Bayesian superyacht did not sink ‘because of storm’

Italian experts conclude crew errors contributed to vessel capsizing, in contrast to interim report by the UK Marine Accident Investigation

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statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu /1 month ago

Probability theory corner: My favorite birthday-problem story

Since we’re on the topic of the birthday problem, I wanted to share a story from my review of Dan Davies’s book, Lying for Money: On p.124, Davies shares an amusing story of the un...

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Sources covering Bayesian Tragedy

sailingscuttlebutt.com

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maritime-executive.com

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statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu

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stuff.co.nz

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tanea.gr

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wantedinrome.com

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