Latest updates for Statistical Ml

Fresh curated links around statistical ML are collected here so marketers can spot useful updates and turn timely ideas into posts faster.

Recent items include:

  • 10 Probability Concepts for Machine Learning Explained Simply
  • ML IMP QUESTIONS DISCUSSION
  • Model Evaluation

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kdnuggets.com /1 week ago

10 Probability Concepts for Machine Learning Explained Simply

A model is almost never 100% sure of anything. These 10 probability concepts explain how it makes decisions anyway.

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jayambe36.medium.com /1 week ago

ML IMP QUESTIONS DISCUSSION

Supervised LearningContinue reading on Medium »

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medium.com /1 week ago

Model Evaluation

In Supervised learning, we often indirectly optimize the outcome by seeing how well the machine learning model scores on the training data…Continue reading on Medium »

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statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu /1 day ago

Survey Statistics: quantifying uncertainty in ranked choice voting polls

We’ve talked about uncertainty in polls (see Margin of Error, Total Margin of Error, Total Margin of Error II) and we’ve talked about ranked data (see exploded logit !). A new pape...

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medium.com /1 month ago

Machine Learning for Quants

Regularization Frameworks: Taming Financial Market NoiseContinue reading on Medium »

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statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu /1 month ago

Survey Statistics: should MRP workflow include LOCO-CV ?

Due tomorrow (June 10): Enter a contest for Alexandre Andorra’s interview of Aki, Richard, and Andrew about their new book Bayesian Workflow. I hope folks ask about evaluating MRP...

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journals.plos.org /1 month ago

A multilevel hierarchical framework for quantification of experimental heterogeneity in population snapshot data

by David J. Warne, Xiangrun Zhu, Thomas P. Steele, Stuart T. Johnston, Scott A. Sisson, Matthew Faria, Ryan J. Murphy, Alexander P. Browning Biological systems exhibit substantial...

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medium.com /1 month ago

Why Standard Sample Size Formulae Break Down for Rare Events

Sample size calculation is one of those things that feels solved. You open a textbook, pick a formula, plug in your numbers, and move on…Continue reading on Medium »

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medium.com /2 days ago

Beyond Guesswork — Bayesian Budget Allocation for Paid Search

Using artificial intelligence to decide where the next Euro goes.Continue reading on Berlin Tech Blog (by mobile.de & Kleinanzeigen) »

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statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu /1 month ago

Survey Statistics: double-plus robustness

Meng (2022) pops up a lot here: “it is the people” (the launch of this blog series a year ago !), “probability samples vs epsem samples vs SRS samples”, “divine probabilities”, and...

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medium.com /2 weeks ago

AI Doesn't Replace Statistical Thinking—It Makes It More Important Than Ever

Continue reading on Medium »

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statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu /1 month ago

MrPlew: Locally Equivalent Weights for Multilevel Regression and Poststratification

Ryan Giordano, Alice Cima, Jared Murray, Erin Hartman, and Avi Feller write: Multilevel regression and poststratification (MrP) has become a workhorse method for estimating populat...

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itstedpark.medium.com /2 weeks ago

Kalman Smoothing Before HMM: Noise Control for Financial ML Regime Features

Financial time-series models often fail for a boring reason: the feature matrix is noisier than the model can use.Continue reading on Medium »

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medium.com /1 week ago

Engineering principles in ML

Representation, Evaluation, and Optimization are the main 3 building blocks when it comes to making a great machine learning model.Continue reading on Medium »

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habr.com /1 month ago

Линейная регрессия на стероидах: Double Machine Learning для устранения смещений в данных

Любой аналитик знает, что самым надёжным способом проверки гипотез являются рандомизированные контролируемые эксперименты (RCT), или, как их называют в народе — A/B-тесты. На практ...

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towardsdatascience.com /1 month ago

Learning From Pairwise Preferences: An Introduction to the Bradley Terry Model

How to Turn Simple Head-to-Head Choices Into Probabilistic Rankings The post Learning From Pairwise Preferences: An Introduction to the Bradley Terry Model appeared first on Toward...

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statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu /2 weeks ago

The optimizer’s curse

The above sketch shows a decision tree. The circles are uncertainty nodes and the squares are decision nodes. Read the tree from left to right: to start, there is uncertainty of wh...

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kdnuggets.com /1 month ago

5 Fun Papers That Explain LLMs Clearly

Want to understand LLMs better? Start with these five foundational papers that explain how they work.

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kdnuggets.com /1 month ago

5 Fun Papers That Explain LLMs Clearly

Want to understand LLMs better? Start with these five foundational papers that explain how they work.

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statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu /1 month ago

Stein’s method, learning and inference -or- how to really monitor convergence and thin chains

This post is from Bob. I’ve been thinking a lot about scores (gradients of the log density function) and how they can be used for convergence monitoring. We know that the expected...

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databricks.com /1 month ago

Reliable LLM Inference at Scale

At Databricks, we’ve built a unique inference platform that serves every frontier...

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simplilearn.com /1 month ago

Comprehensive Guide to Descriptive vs Inferential Statistics! | Simplilearn

TL;DR: Descriptive vs. Inferential Statistics compares two key approaches: descriptive statistics summarize and present data (mean, median, charts), while inferential statistics us...

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towardsdatascience.com /1 month ago

Can LLMs Replace Survey Respondents?

How unlearning fixes mode collapse in synthetic survey replies The post Can LLMs Replace Survey Respondents? appeared first on Towards Data Science.

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mql5.com /3 weeks ago

Non-Linear Probability Fields in Algorithmic Trading: Mathematical Rigor and Deep Learning Architectures in Live Market

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kdnuggets.com

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habr.com

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journals.plos.org

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medium.com

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statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu

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towardsdatascience.com

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