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What’s the role of prediction markets when it comes to the midterms? For the pollster Kristen Soltis Anderson, their lack of transparency on who is betting — and why — makes them h...
“The slow decline of traditional polling has left politicos, who are always desperate for numbers, in a lurch,” NOTUS reports. “Two venture-backed prediction market companies are o...
Betting on November's U.S. midterm elections has already hit $133 million, surpassing the $92.4 million wagered during the 2024 congressional election cycle, the Anti-Corruption Da...
Wall Street Journal: “White House officials are among those grappling with how deeply political betting has worked itself into the fabric of Washington, a town that runs on informa...
No one used to argue about the phrase “insider trading.” For decades, those two words connoted a transgression, a crime, something unambiguously tainted. But lately, with the me...
My parents’ generation may have been on to something when they railed against gambling. If only George Santos had listenedIf only George Santos and Bill Simmons had my parents, the...
While a stunt involving fake polls may not have been an effort to rig prediction markets, concerns are growing ahead of the midterms about other attempts to influence the betting s...
Wall Street Journal: Prediction market political betting on insider info spreads in DC; sources: WH lawyers raised alarms over anonymous Polymarket bets on the Iran ceasefire timin...
The site claims its hub will provide accurate insights into election outcomes based on traders' bets.
The second term of US President Donald Trump is fast approaching another milestone, with the 2026 midterms scheduled for Tuesday, November 3rd. Trump’s Republican Party is braced f...
Kalshi launched a new Midterms Hub on Wednesday that brings its political prediction markets, polling averages, fundraising data, historical results and election news together in o...
The spat between the leading prediction market company and a key battleground state could be a glimpse into the next major fight between states and the fast-growing industry.
Multiple instances of individuals using inside information to place bets on prediction markets have also allegedly occurred in recent months.
TOPEKA — Where traditional polling has been quiet, online prediction markets ahead of Kansas’ primary election show who is favored to win key races, offering a glimpse into voter b...
Polymarket, where users can bet on virtually anything, is considered more reliable than election polls – the wisdom of the crowds who put their money where their mouth is. However,...
From threats to the safety of poll workers to voters who can’t distinguish between odds and results, prediction markets are already scrambling the political process.
Political analysis with David Wallace Lockhart and Lynsey Bews.
While a stunt involving fake polls may not have been an effort to rig prediction markets, concerns are growing ahead of the midterms about other attempts to influence the betting s...
More states are challenging companies that claim predicting a future event is not luck, even as more Americans find betting morally unacceptable.
Every election cycle brings a new round of numbers, including polls, early voting tallies and fundraising totals. In recent years, prediction market prices tied to election outcome...
Every political candidate likes to believe they’re a winner, and Laurie Buckhout is no different. But the Republican nominee for North Carolina’s 1st Congressional District took th...
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