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Personal income, consumption, slightly above consensus; manufacturing and trade industry sales (April), and 3rd release GDO: Figure 1: NFP employment (bold blue), civilian employme...
STR analysis finds credit utilization and income band data outperform GDP and inflation as demand predictors for luxury and economy hotel segments, pointing to increasingly fragmen...
Philadelphia Fed national index, plus consensus on May ADP employment: Figure 1: Civilian employment adjusted to NFP concept smoothed population controls (bold orange), manufacturi...
NFP underwhelms and prior months revised downward, civilian employment and civilian employment adjusted to NFP concept moving downward. Figure 1: NFP employment (bold blue), civili...
IP at 0.1% m/m vs. 0.3% consensus. Figure 1: NFP employment (bold blue), civilian employment with smoothed population controls (bold orange), industrial production (red), personal...
Friday release of May employment (labor force survey): Figure 1: Monthly employment from Labor Force survey (blue), nonfarm payroll employmet from Survey of Payroll, Employment and...
Not standard NBER BCDC indicators, but still interesting. First, all measures of personal income (pretax, aftertax) are down while consumption growth slows. Figure 1: Consumption (...
Here’re some business cycle indicators with deflated retail sales: Figure 1: Civilian employment adjusted to NFP concept smoothed population controls (bold orange), manufacturing p...
Coincident continues to rise through May, while Bloomberg consensus for NFP growth is for +114K, roughly same growth rate as in May: Figure 1: Civilian employment adjusted to NFP c...
By Prof. Lubinda Haabazoka When a patient walks into a hospital, the first thing a doctor does is not prescribe medication. Instead, the doctor conducts an examination by checking...
Gallup index falls to -45 even as Conference Board's leading indicator edges up in April
Click to expand Image A family collects water lilies from Boeung Tamok lake to sell at t...
The course of the Greek economy can be assessed from different perspectives. Most useful indicators refer to the grand total or the averages. Fiscally, state coffers are performing...
The article presents the key macroeconomic indicators of Ukraine and the global economy as of the end of February 2026.
Real consumption upside surprise, but large personal income ex-transfers downside surprise, plus downward revisions (along with Q1 GDP downward revision). Figure 1: NFP employment...
Investors are bracing for a week dominated by Middle East geopolitical tensions, with crude oil prices and domestic economic data taking center stage. Key indicators like Industria...
As of the 2026Q1 3rd release: Figure 1: GDP (bold black), GDI (red), GDO (blue), GDP+ growth iterated on 2022Q2 GDP (green), all in bn.Ch.2017$ SAAR. Source: BEA 2026Q1 3rd release...
Canadian economic data will be volatile as the government works on a broader transformation of the economy, Prime Minister Mark Carney said in response to last week’s gross domesti...
Will people think things will get back to normal soon, per NEC Chair Hassett (fm ABC News)? “Well, look, in the end, people look at their wallets and they decide how to vote, and i...
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