Business Cycle Indicators at July’s End
Following up on Jim’s GDP asssessment, here’re NBER BCDC indicators plus alternatives. Consumption growth remains strong, Figure 1: NFP employment (bold blue), civilian employment...
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Following up on Jim’s GDP asssessment, here’re NBER BCDC indicators plus alternatives. Consumption growth remains strong, Figure 1: NFP employment (bold blue), civilian employment...
Data about the growth of Greece’s economy in the second quarter of the year (April-June), will not be released until early September, but there are a number of predictive indicator...
Evidence of continued growth: Figure 1: NFP employment (bold blue), civilian employment with smoothed population controls (bold orange), industrial production (red), personal incom...
Along with GDPNow. Industrial production under consensus (+0.1% m/m ov +0.2% Bloomberg consensus), while manufacturing is flat (+0.0% vs. +0.1% consensus). Figure 1: NFP employment...
Industrial production below consensus (+0.2% m/m vs. +0.3% Bloomberg), manufacturing at consensus, although previous month’s revised up. Output measures continue to outpace employm...
For years, headline economic indicators have suggested that the U.S. economy is performing well. GDP has continued to expand, unemployment…Continue reading on Medium »
Analysts said that macroeconomic data, auto sales, and foreign investor trading activity will influence future market movement
Summarising a few key economic metrics in a series of chartsSummarising a few key economic metrics in a series of chartsSummarising a few key economic metrics in a series of charts
A simple view of where valuations in the Indian economy stand todayA simple view of where valuations in the Indian economy stand todayA simple dian economy stand todayA
S&P Global Markets Insights monthly GDP (formerly IHS, Macroeconomic Advisers) online today. Here is monthly GDP againnst other NBER BCDC measures: Figure 1: NFP employment (bo...
It's no surprise this is higher after non-farm payrolls. Note that this is a composite index that grabs from various sources that are already public. That said, it's still a useful...
Are you looking for a sign to make sense of our crazy property markets? Australia's property markets are sending mixed signals right now, and the only way to make sense of them is...
Indonesia’s faster-than-expected economic growth in the second quarter has offered a ray of hope for a sustainable turnaround after months of negative news over the rupiah, investo...
Nominal consumption beats expectations ( +0.2% m/m vs +0.1% Bbg consensus), but real personal income ex-transfers remains below recent peak. Figure 1: NFP employment (bold blue), c...
The Korean economy is showing signs of a "broader improvement" on the strong performance of chip-related industries, a state-run think tank said Monday, although uncertainties in t...
Romania's macroeconomic confidence indicator compiled by CFA Society Romania recovered in June after plunging close to the record low (29.9 points, June 2025) in May, but remained...
The Central Bank of Nigeria has highlighted new economic indicators it says point to improving stability, from stronger reserves to easing inflation pressures.
Forget GDP, inflation and unemployment figures. What’s the weirdly specific thing that makes you think money is getting tight?
Back at the end of 2024, EJ Antoni was citing the Primerica Household Budget Index as indicator of consumer conditions. A recent study by a major American bank showed over a quarte...
A simple monthly dashboard built from four economic indicators replaces news noise with the numbers that actually predict business and industry risk
The recovery feels elusive to many, but some parts of New Zealand are booming. Shamubeel Eaqub pulls together 15 indicators for every district in the country to find out who is doi...
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