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S&P Global Markets Insights monthly GDP (formerly IHS, Macroeconomic Advisers) online today. Here is monthly GDP againnst other NBER BCDC measures: Figure 1: NFP employment (bo...
'Trade uncertainty is back with new U.S. tariffs now imposed, Canadian retaliation due early next month, and the prospect of further escalation hard to dismiss'
Warsh's data-driven approach may lead to more dynamic monetary policy adjustments, impacting inflation control and economic stability. The post Federal Reserve’s Warsh outlines dat...
Summarising a few key economic metrics in a series of chartsSummarising a few key economic metrics in a series of chartsSummarising a few key economic metrics in a series of charts
CPI – headline vs. CPI for wage earners and clerical workers: FIgure 1: Median weekly usual real earnings, deflated using CPI (blue), using CPI for wage earners and clerical worker...
Industrial production below consensus (+0.2% m/m vs. +0.3% Bloomberg), manufacturing at consensus, although previous month’s revised up. Output measures continue to outpace employm...
Along with GDPNow. Industrial production under consensus (+0.1% m/m ov +0.2% Bloomberg consensus), while manufacturing is flat (+0.0% vs. +0.1% consensus). Figure 1: NFP employment...
The FT is tracking changes to the cost of living that will affect American voters
The market doesn't care about the news; it cares about how that news compares to what the big money already expected. If you're still trying to click... Source
Apropos of nothing except current (financial system) events (Fall teaching), some pictures to elicit thoughts. Debt rising fast even at full employment Stock market near peak? Fed...
India’s statistical system once commanded respect, and its data on economic and social indicators was considered rigorous – that appears to have eroded• Don’t get This is India del...
+30K < +78K Bloomberg consensus.
Kalshi Research is doing interesting work on the fundamentals of prediction markets and also on how data from prediction markets can be used to improve other forecasts. Economists...
In Economics & Investing Media of the Week we feature photos, charts, graphs, maps, video links, and news items of interest to preppers. Today, a map showing the median househo...
The WSJ July survey is out: Figure 1: GDP (bold black), WSJ July survey mean (blue), FT-Booth June survey (light green square), WEO July (purple triangle), GDPNow of 7/8 (light blu...
The good folks at “Our World in Data” have been putting together a data series which shows monthly spending on the “on-site work to build data centers each month, including materia...
Analysts said that macroeconomic data, auto sales, and foreign investor trading activity will influence future market movement
Following up on Jim’s GDP asssessment, here’re NBER BCDC indicators plus alternatives. Consumption growth remains strong, Figure 1: NFP employment (bold blue), civilian employment...
Including Everyday Price Indexâ„¢. Nowcast suggests accelerating inflation in m/m August CPI: Figure 1: CPI (blue), CPI-wage earners and clerical workers (purple), chained CPI (gre...
Nominal consumption beats expectations ( +0.2% m/m vs +0.1% Bbg consensus), but real personal income ex-transfers remains below recent peak. Figure 1: NFP employment (bold blue), c...
Evidence of continued growth: Figure 1: NFP employment (bold blue), civilian employment with smoothed population controls (bold orange), industrial production (red), personal incom...
In Economics & Investing Media of the Week we feature photos, charts, graphs, maps, video links, and news items of interest to preppers. This week, a map showing US Counties by...
Real wages down from February, Figure 1: Average hourly wage in 2025$ using headline CPI (bold black), wage earner and clerical worker CPI (red), CPI ex-shelter (blue), and Everday...
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