The WEO Wartime Economic Outlook
Out today; first, the IMF’s reference scenario: This is the reference scenario, invoking a short war. Here are revisions preconflict, and Adverse and Severe scenario outlooks (%, y...
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Out today; first, the IMF’s reference scenario: This is the reference scenario, invoking a short war. Here are revisions preconflict, and Adverse and Severe scenario outlooks (%, y...
Under the IMF's worst-case outlook, the global economy teeters on the brink of recession, with oil prices averaging $110 a barrel in 2026 and $125 in 2027.
The global economy is set to grow by 3.1 percent this year, said the International Monetary Fund in its World Economic Outlook report, released during its spring meetings in Washin...
WASHINGTON — The International Monetary Fund cut its growth outlook on Tuesday due to Middle East war-driven energy price spikes but said the world was already drifting toward a mo...
At the IMF Spring Meetings 2026, Chief Economist Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas while unveiling the world economic outlook responds to a question to Business Today TV’s Karishma Asoodan...
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has lowered its global economic growth forecasts for 2026 to 3.1 percent in the World Economic Outlook (WEO) report published on Tuesday, whil...
(click to enlarge) Though global economic growth has stabilized since the 2020 pandemic meltdown, it remains below pre-pandemic averages and unevenly distributed across regions. Af...
India's economic growth for FY27 is projected at 6.6 percent. The World Bank notes potential risks from the Gulf conflict impacting global energy prices. However, India's economy i...
WASHINGTON — War in the Middle East has upended the world economy, the International Monetary Fund said Tuesday, warning in a report that disruptions to oil markets could slow grow...
Adding in IMF WEO projections, as well as nowcasts/tracking: Figure 1: GDP (bold black), April Admin. (red square), April IMF World Economic Outlook (blue square), March Survey of...
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has cut its 2026 growth projection for the South African economy to only 1% from a January projection of 1.4%, as it warned that the outbreak...
IMF and World Bank warn war will slow global growth and raise inflation, hitting poorer nations hardest
WASHINGTON, D.C.: The global economy is entering a period of heightened risk as the war in Iran disrupts energy markets, with the International Monetary Fund warning that a prolong...
Growth in Asia-Pacific developing economies slows to 4.6% in 2025, projected at 4% in 2026
The latest World Economic Outlook from the International Monetary Fund paints a sobering picture for Sub-Saharan Africa, as escalating conflict in the Middle East threatens to dera...
Gallup index falls to -45 even as Conference Board's leading indicator edges up in April
IMF's projections show that the economy is holding its ground, and that alone is no small achievement
IMF chief Georgieva has abandoned the fund's mild slowdown forecast, warning that if the Middle East war continues into 2027 with oil at $125 a barrel, a "much worse" global econom...
WASHINGTON, D.C. — The International Monetary Fund (IMF) and World Bank hold their spring meetings this week as the war in the Middle East weighs on the global economy. In a speech...
The forecast will be the same as reported in the Budget (see here), using data from November. Hence, will be OBE given slowdown pre-War, and post-War cost-push shock. However, I ex...
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