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I wrote this infographic yesterday. It grew out of one of the recurring conversations Jacqueline and I have about the relationship between quantum thinking, uncertainty, Read the f...
Oxford Quantum Circuits (OQC) and Trust Base benchmarked hybrid quantum workloads for financial risk modeling, evaluating classical, hybrid quantum-classical, and fault-tolerant qu...
Not every 95% confidence interval actually delivers 95% coverage. A 3,000-month simulation study shows why the Wilson score interval provides more reliable uncertainty estimates th...
Welcome to the second post in our GeoLog series on communicating uncertainty! Written by students from an interdisciplinary course at the University of Tübingen led by Dr. Solmaz M...
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More informed decision-making through uncertainty quantification The post Beyond Point Predictions: A Practical Introduction to Bayesian Neural Networks appeared first on Towards D...
Point predictions tell you what a model *thinks* will happen. They don't tell you how much to trust that number. nnetsauce's `QuantileRegressor` takes any sklearn-compatible regres...
Welcome to a new series on GeoLog dedicated to one of the most critical yet frequently misunderstood aspects of research: Communicating uncertainty in science. Over the coming mont...
Researchers have combined neutrosophic set theory with deep feature geometry to give pretrained neural networks an interpretable, three-part measure of their own uncertainty, expos...
One of the qualities of being human is not-knowing with certainty. Indeed, an essential in being human is to... The post Is the Quest to Eliminate Uncertainty Morally Good? appeare...
Figure 1 (AI through Gemini) Can you suggest a Picture that will reflect the uncertainty of the global economy? As labeled, the top picture was created by AI (the red label shows m...
ML model adoption doesn't stop with acceptance of accuracy; it starts there. The post Can Conformal Prediction Take You from Accurate to Reliable Machine Learning? appeared first o...
Autoregressive rollout and uncertainty propagation. Second in a series on probabilistic forecasting for physical signals. The post Your Model's MSE Is Lying to You: Part II appeare...
A clean sample can sound stronger than it is. Someone checks a handful of items, finds no exceptions, and the sentence wants to become broader than the evidence: the process worked...
Can you reconstruct the astrophysics illustration in our interactive slide puzzle? The post Uncertainty and the random universe: a slide puzzle appeared first on Physics World.
Welcome to the first post in our new GeoLog series on communicating uncertainty! Written by students from an interdisciplinary course at the University of Tübingen led by Dr. Solma...
Researchers can now put numerical error limits on quantum simulations, showing how much confidence to place in their results. As quantum simulators become powerful enough to tackle...
Through yesterday: Figure 1: EPU (blue, left scale), 7 day centered moving average (red, left scale), EPU-trade policy (green, right scale), 7 day centered moving average (black, r...
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