Latest updates for Predictions

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Recent items include:

  • AFL Predictions for the Preliminary Finals
  • The Prediction Archive
  • Currie Cup Predictions for the Currie Cup Final

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statschat.org.nz /1 month ago

AFL Predictions for the Preliminary Finals

Team Ratings for the Preliminary Finals The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at th...

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marginalrevolution.com /1 month ago

The Prediction Archive

The Prediction Archive is a public database of tens of thousands of world predictions. Using AI it tracks predictions over many decades and marks to market. I was surprised to disc...

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statschat.org.nz /1 month ago

Currie Cup Predictions for the Currie Cup Final

Team Ratings for the Currie Cup Final The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the...

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statschat.org.nz /1 month ago

Currie Cup Predictions for the Semi-Finals

Team Ratings for the Semi-Finals The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start...

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statschat.org.nz /1 month ago

AFL Predictions for Semi-Finals

Team Ratings for Semi-Finals The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of...

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statschat.org.nz /1 month ago

AFL Predictions for the Grand Final

Team Ratings for the Grand Final The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start...

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statschat.org.nz /1 month ago

AFL Predictions for Quarter Final

Team Ratings for Quarter Finals The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start...

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statschat.org.nz /1 month ago

Top 14 Predictions for Round 1

Team Ratings for Round 1 Almost a tradition that I miss the start of a competition. For completeness, here are the predictions. As always, the predictions are not affected at all b...

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celticsblog.com /1 month ago

One statistical prediction for each member of the Celtics

September belongs to football. We all know that, and most of us are OK with it.  But some of us – even those who love football, too – are counting down the days to basketball seaso...

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statschat.org.nz /1 month ago

NRL Predictions for the Preliminary Finals

Team Ratings for the Preliminary Finals The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at th...

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footballfancast.com /1 month ago

Premier League Predictions: Supercomputer Table 2026/27

The AI supercomputer predicts the final 2026/27 Premier League standings, updated weekly.

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marginalrevolution.com /1 day ago

Prediction Markets Are Accurate

No surprise to me but a new paper looks at the forecast accuracy of over one million prediction questions from Polymarket, Kalshi, Manifold and the forecasting platform Metaculus....

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thepredicto.medium.com /1 month ago

Predicto Atlas: One Model to Forecast Them All

A single deep learning model trained across 528 stocks, built to forecast volatility.Continue reading on Medium »

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statschat.org.nz /3 weeks ago

Top 14 Predictions for Round 5

Team Ratings for Round 5 The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the...

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statschat.org.nz /2 weeks ago

Top 14 Predictions for Round 6

Team Ratings for Round 6 The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the...

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statschat.org.nz /1 month ago

NRL Predictions for Finals Week 1

Team Ratings for Finals Week 1 The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start o...

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statschat.org.nz /1 month ago

Rugby Premiership Predictions for Round 1

Team Ratings for Round 1 The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the...

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statschat.org.nz /1 month ago

Top 14 Predictions for Round 2

Team Ratings for Round 2 The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the...

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statschat.org.nz /1 month ago

United Rugby Championship Predictions for Week 1

Team Ratings for Week 1 The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the s...

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statschat.org.nz /1 month ago

NFL Predictions for Week 1

Team Ratings for Week 1 The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the s...

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nakedcapitalism.com /1 month ago

What Are Prediction Markets—and Can They Really Predict the Future?

Prediction markets take wagers on coming events. Supporters tout them for forecasting; critics warn they encourage speculation and manipulation

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statschat.org.nz /1 month ago

Top 14 Predictions for Round 3

Team Ratings for Round 3 The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the...

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statschat.org.nz /3 weeks ago

NRL Predictions for the Grand Final

  Team Ratings for the Grand Final The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the sta...

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4dinsingapore.com /3 weeks ago

4D Number Prediction Singapore: Forecasts and Their Limits

A 4D number prediction in Singapore can help you explore number picks, past results, and possible permutations. Past Singapore 4D results can show patterns, but they cannot predict...

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Sources covering Predictions

marginalrevolution.com

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nakedcapitalism.com

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4dinsingapore.com

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medium.com

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celticsblog.com

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footballfancast.com

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