Social Media Ideas for Leading Economic Index (Lei)

USD Economic Strength Index

USD Economic Strength Index: The Fundamental Macro Dashboard

Alternative Business Cycle Indicators: Coincident Index

Philadelphia Fed national index, plus consensus on May ADP employment: Figure 1: Civilian employment adjusted to NFP concept smoothed population controls (bold orange), manufacturi...

Business Cycle Indicators as of End-June

Personal income, consumption, slightly above consensus; manufacturing and trade industry sales (April), and 3rd release GDO: Figure 1: NFP employment (bold blue), civilian employme...

US employment trends for May 107.01 versus 107.88 the last month (revised from 105.77)

Key Takeaways from the Conference Board Employment Trends Index (ETI) – May 2026Employment Trends Index (ETI) fell to 107.01 in May from an upwardly revised 107.88 in April, signal...

US Richmond Fed May composite index +13 vs +3 prior

Prior was +3Services index +14 vs +9 priorManufacturing shipments +16 vs -2 priorFifth District manufacturing activity improved in May, according to the most recent survey from the...

US economic outlook hits lowest point in nearly four years as confidence crumbles

Gallup index falls to -45 even as Conference Board's leading indicator edges up in April

Business Cycle Indicators – Key NBER and Alternatives

NFP underwhelms and prior months revised downward, civilian employment and civilian employment adjusted to NFP concept moving downward. Figure 1: NFP employment (bold blue), civili...

Industrial, Manufacturing Production and Business Cycle Indicators

IP at 0.1% m/m vs. 0.3% consensus. Figure 1: NFP employment (bold blue), civilian employment with smoothed population controls (bold orange), industrial production (red), personal...

Indices rise on weak U.S. data

Construction Economics for June 1, 2026

ENR’s 20-city average cost indexes, wages and materials prices. Historical data and details for ENR’s 20 cities can be found at ENR.com/economics

Construction Economics for May 25, 2026

ENR’s 20-city average cost indexes, wages and materials prices. Historical data and details for ENR’s 20 cities can be found at ENR.com/economics

Conference Board Index Still in Gloomy Range

Confidence rises to 91.2, but below consensus (94.4), from downwardly revised level. Gallup also rises. Figure 1: U.Michigan Economic Sentiment (blue), Conference Board Confidence...

Economic sentiment in Cyprus sinks

The Cyprus Composite Leading Economic Index (CCLEI) deteriorated further in April.

“Reassessing the Relationship Between Consumer Sentiment and Spending with a New Composite Index”

Chicago Fed letter, by Brave, Henken, and Jolley: …we show how related daily measures of consumer sentiment can be used to correct for potential biases in the University of Michiga...

Construction Economics for June 15, 2026

ENR’s 20-city average cost indexes, wages and materials prices. Historical data and details for ENR’s 20 cities can be found at ENR.com/economics

Eight Measures of the US Price Level

Headline CPI has risen the least since 2025M01: Figure 1: Headline CPI (bold black), chained CPI, n.s.a. (green), CPI for wage earners and clerical workers (red), CPI-ex shelter (o...

Alternative Business Cycle Indicators: Coincident, Consensus ADP

Coincident continues to rise through May, while Bloomberg consensus for NFP growth is for +114K, roughly same growth rate as in May: Figure 1: Civilian employment adjusted to NFP c...

Construction Economics for June 8, 2026

ENR’s 20-city average cost indexes, wages and materials prices. Historical data and details for ENR’s 20 cities can be found at ENR.com/economics

US National Activity Index for April 0.14 vs -0.15% last month

Prior month -0.20 revised to -0.15Details from the Chicago Fed:Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago CFNAI rose to +0.14 in April from -0.15 in March, signaling an improvement in overall...

Price Indices and Expectations of the Price Level

Will people think things will get back to normal soon, per NEC Chair Hassett (fm ABC News)? “Well, look, in the end, people look at their wallets and they decide how to vote, and i...

US Recession Risk Dashboard

From Francesco Furno and Domenico Giannone, continuously updated risk assessment, at https://recessionrisk.com/ (discussed previously in this post). The dashboard refreshes automat...

Construction Economics for June 22, 2026

ENR’s 20-city average cost indexes, wages and materials prices. Historical data and details for ENR’s 20 cities can be found at ENR.com/economics

Construction Economics for July 13, 2026

ENR’s 20-city average cost indexes, wages and materials prices. Historical data and details for ENR’s 20 cities can be found at ENR.com/economics