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Philadelphia Fed national index, plus consensus on May ADP employment: Figure 1: Civilian employment adjusted to NFP concept smoothed population controls (bold orange), manufacturi...
Output is still rising smartly according to one index (2.1% m/m annualized): Figure 1: GDP (blue bars), SPGMI monthly GDP (red), Brave-Butters-Kelley index (blue), Coincident Index...
Monthly GDP, retail sales, ADP employment, freight services index… NBER BCDC key measures: Figure 1: Nonfarm payroll (NFP) employment preliminary benchmark revision (thin blue), NF...
Prior was 0Services index 9 vs 9 priorManufacturing shipments -2 vs -2 priorFor background, the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond's monthly Survey of Manufacturing Activity is one o...
Prior was +3Services index +14 vs +9 priorManufacturing shipments +16 vs -2 priorFifth District manufacturing activity improved in May, according to the most recent survey from the...
Gallup index falls to -45 even as Conference Board's leading indicator edges up in April
NFP up, but household survey series down. Figure 1: NFP employment (bold blue), civilian employment with smoothed population controls (bold orange), industrial production (red), pe...
ENR’s 20-city average cost indexes, wages and materials prices. Historical data and details for ENR’s 20 cities can be found at ENR.com/economics
From the releases today: Figure 1: Nonfarm payroll (NFP) employment preliminary benchmark revision (thin blue), NFP employment (bold blue), civilian employment with smoothed popula...
Prior was -0.2New orders +19.3 vs +6.4 priorPrices paid +51.0 vs +36.6 priorEmployment +9.8 vs +5.8 priorSeparately, the US was out with import/export price data:Import prices +0.8...
Everyday prices outstripping measured CPI and subindices: Figure 1: CPI-all urban (bold black), CPI wage earners and clerical (green), CPI ex-shelter (purple), CPI chained (red), P...
Monthly GDP through March is up, while April CPI-deflated retail sales are down. The industrial and manufacturing production release is tomorrow. Figure 1: NFP employment (bold blu...
Prior was -0.2Output +19.0 vs +6.8 priorNew orders +9.9 vs +6.1 priorPrices paid 37.0 vs 32.7 priorEmployment -0.9 vs -1.0 priorPrices received 14.9 vs 5.9 priorWages and benefits...
Nominal retail sales grew 1.7% m/m, above Bloomberg consensus of 1.4%. With the advance release of sales, and coincident index from the Philadelphia Fed, we have the following pic...
ENR’s 20-city average cost indexes, wages and materials prices. Historical data and details for ENR’s 20 cities can be found at ENR.com/economics
ENR’s 20-city average cost indexes, wages and materials prices. Historical data and details for ENR’s 20 cities can be found at ENR.com/economics
The Cyprus Composite Leading Economic Index (CCLEI) deteriorated further in April.
From Atlanta Fed and Goldman Sachs, today: Figure 1: Final sales to private domestic purchasers (bold black), 2023-24 stochastic trend (gray), March SPF median (brown), GDPNow (lig...
ENR’s 20-city average cost indexes, wages and materials prices. Historical data and details for ENR’s 20 cities can be found at ENR.com/economics
Headline CPI has risen the least since 2025M01: Figure 1: Headline CPI (bold black), chained CPI, n.s.a. (green), CPI for wage earners and clerical workers (red), CPI-ex shelter (o...
ENR’s 20-city average cost indexes, wages and materials prices. Historical data and details for ENR’s 20 cities can be found at ENR.com/economics
ENR’s 20-city average cost indexes, wages and materials prices. Historical data and details for ENR’s 20 cities can be found at ENR.com/economics
Prior month -0.20 revised to -0.15Details from the Chicago Fed:Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago CFNAI rose to +0.14 in April from -0.15 in March, signaling an improvement in overall...
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