Monthly Business Cycle Indicators: Canada
Friday release of May employment (labor force survey): Figure 1: Monthly employment from Labor Force survey (blue), nonfarm payroll employmet from Survey of Payroll, Employment and...
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Friday release of May employment (labor force survey): Figure 1: Monthly employment from Labor Force survey (blue), nonfarm payroll employmet from Survey of Payroll, Employment and...
The U.S. economy has come to an unusual crossroads. Productivity is accelerating, the labor market remains historically tight, and workforce growth has stalled. The post Breitbart...
At a time when Britain faces sluggish growth, stretched public finances, and mounting pressure on frontline services, Labour… The post ‘For Labour the next phase must be about grow...
HotelData.com's Q1 2026 data shows CPOR rose 1.8% but HPOR fell 2.3%, with frontline roles like room attendants cutting minutes per room, signaling stronger labor discipline headin...
Stuart Gentle Publisher at Onrec 12 Jun 2026|News archiveHow Business Growth Investments Support Recruitment and Workforce ExpansionThere are 7.6 million active job openings acros...
As of the 2026Q1 3rd release: Figure 1: GDP (bold black), GDI (red), GDO (blue), GDP+ growth iterated on 2022Q2 GDP (green), all in bn.Ch.2017$ SAAR. Source: BEA 2026Q1 3rd release...
Wage growth peaked four years ago. Since 1985, it has led CPI by three to seventeen months in every single cycle. The May 4.2% inflation print is the noise. Watch the wages....
Despite cautious market sentiment in 2025 and 2026 fuelled by global geopolitical tensions, the industry added 1.18 lakh new formal flexi-workers over the past 12 months
At least according to EJ Antoni’s definition, in his critique of employment growth under the Biden administration: gov’t and the gov’t-dominated healthcare sector [employment growt...
IP at 0.1% m/m vs. 0.3% consensus. Figure 1: NFP employment (bold blue), civilian employment with smoothed population controls (bold orange), industrial production (red), personal...
I came across a chart of long term real gross domestic product per capita for Australia (1900 to about 2020) that had a couple of mistakes in its y axis scale and labelling. I want...
The secular decline in birth rates across the globe over the past seven decades has slowed population growth, raised average ages, and reshaped labor markets and the macroeconomy....
From ADP, one sees that employment growth has accelerated, small firm employment, and employment share, has decelerated. Figure 1: Private nonfarm payroll employment in firms 1-19...
Canada’s labour productivity declined for a second consecutive quarter as hours worked increased while output declined.
Coincident continues to rise through May, while Bloomberg consensus for NFP growth is for +114K, roughly same growth rate as in May: Figure 1: Civilian employment adjusted to NFP c...
Here’re some business cycle indicators with deflated retail sales: Figure 1: Civilian employment adjusted to NFP concept smoothed population controls (bold orange), manufacturing p...
The share of Gross Domestic Income accruing to labor has been declining in recent decades while the share accruing to capital has been rising. In the graph below, I show labor comp...
Nonfarm payroll employment upside surprise from CES. CPS indicates something less positive, as does ADP, trendwise. Figure 1: Change in nonfarm payroll employment according to CES...
Warsh's focus on productivity and stable labor markets suggests potential for sustained economic growth, impacting monetary policy and investment trends. The post Federal Reserve C...
NFP underwhelms and prior months revised downward, civilian employment and civilian employment adjusted to NFP concept moving downward. Figure 1: NFP employment (bold blue), civili...
Personal income, consumption, slightly above consensus; manufacturing and trade industry sales (April), and 3rd release GDO: Figure 1: NFP employment (bold blue), civilian employme...
Jobs and participation in the labor force grew in May, with a welcome 1,400 new nonfarm jobs created above April’s count — propelled by construction throughout the state, led by re...
QCEW covered employment data through end-2025 is out. Figure 1: Nonfarm payroll employment from BLS CES (bold black), Bloomberg consensus of 6/2 (gray square), QCEW seasonally adju...
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