Social Media Ideas for From Our Economists

GDP’s Trajectory: The View from Wall Street

The WSJ July survey is out: Figure 1: GDP (bold black), WSJ July survey mean (blue), FT-Booth June survey (light green square), WEO July (purple triangle), GDPNow of 7/8 (light blu...

Who Wants To Talk Economics?

TorontoRealtyBlog Inflation, unemployment, interest rates, GDP, housing starts - get your fill today, folks! Let's look at the major economic indicators in Canada and see how they'...

The Kalshi Citizen Debt Forecast (CDF)

Kalshi Research is doing interesting work on the fundamentals of prediction markets and also on how data from prediction markets can be used to improve other forecasts. Economists...

Global Data Pod Weekender: One-and-a-half-handed economists

While there are considerable crosscurrents on both the growth and inflation fronts, our views remain squarely focused on resilient global growth (with risks biased to the upside) a...

Looking at What Used To Be EJ Antoni’s Favorite Household Finances Indicator

Back at the end of 2024, EJ Antoni was citing the Primerica Household Budget Index as indicator of consumer conditions. A recent study by a major American bank showed over a quarte...

Economists impressed with GDP data, expect interest rates to hold with uncertainty ahead

'Trade uncertainty is back with new U.S. tariffs now imposed, Canadian retaliation due early next month, and the prospect of further escalation hard to dismiss'

India GDP Row: Economists Montek Ahluwalia, Surjit Bhalla & Nilkanth Mishra Decode Data Controversy

India GDP Row: Economists Montek Ahluwalia, Surjit Bhalla & Nilkanth Mishra Decode Data Controversy

We learned 5 important things about the economy this week

From inflation, to credit card debt, to who's actually doing the spending: These are key takeaways from this week in economic news.

[In This Economy] For the rest of 2026, our inflation woes are far from over

Our inflation problem has not ended, it has merely paused.

Economic factors matter in an election – Musokotwane

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How economics is changing

As a proportion of the literature, research about econometric theory, monetary policy and corporate governance has slumped. Meanwhile, papers on development, crime and gender are o...

Global Data Pod Weekender: Labor day

Today’s employment report aligned labor demand more closely with the positive cyclical dynamics seen in both US and global activity this quarter. While there remains a concern abou...

[In This Economy] Economic impacts of the ‘historic’ P85 wage hike

Three things seem more important than rearguing the P85 wage hike for Metro Manila

Economists split three ways on the Bank of Canada's next move

Forecasts now run from a December hike to no change at all until the end of 2027

What Is The Economy Really Telling Us?

Yield Curve Tells Us More Than We Think

The BLS reported that payrolls jumped by 162,000, more than tripling estimates of a 50,000 gain. Unemployment held at 4.1%, and wages rose 0.3% for the month. Below, we share a bul...

Economists expect the Bank of Canada to hold rates through the rest of the year

Statistics Canada releases its second-quarter GDP estimate on Friday

The Most Important Signal From Jackson Hole May Not Be the Fed

Citizens’ Mark Valentino and Eric Merlis unpack the business implications of Jackson Hole, arguing that the most important signal for Main Street may be the persistence of economic...

Forecasts and Nowcasts

The August Survey of Professional Forecasters is out: Figure 1: GDP (bold black), Survey of Professional Forecasters (blue), GDPNow of 8/14 (light blue square), NY Fed nowcast of 8...

4 Big Questions About the Economy

Questions about recessions, housing, bond yields and more. The post 4 Big Questions About the Economy appeared first on A Wealth of Common Sense. ...

*Who Thinks Like an Economist?*

That is the title of a recent book by Beatrice Magistro.  Some key results are: Economic knowledge consistently predicts higher support for welfare-enhancing policies (Eurozone mem...

Monthly GDP Drops for Two Consecutive Months

S&P Global Markets Insights monthly GDP (formerly IHS, Macroeconomic Advisers) online today. Here is monthly GDP againnst other NBER BCDC measures: Figure 1: NFP employment (bo...

[In This Economy] The populist economics of SONA 2026

This year’s SONA seems to be a bit more polished and better crafted—in form, at least. In terms of substance, though, it’s terribly populist.

Global Data Pod Weekender: Vibe check

The view is tracking a cyclical lift that comes with job growth, which in turn will amplify already elevated inflation concerns and spark a central bank turn toward tightening. Whe...