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Misleading maps manufacture a crisis that the data does not support.
We’ve talked about uncertainty in polls (see Margin of Error, Total Margin of Error, Total Margin of Error II) and we’ve talked about ranked data (see exploded logit !). A new pape...
I just read the Pew Research Center’s new report “No Easy Fix for Bogus Respondents in Online Opt-In Polls”. It begins: One of the most urgent problems in online opt-in polling is...
The statistics themselves may not be a lie, but people can use them in deceitful ways. Here's how they can be used for misinformation. The post Why You Should Always Fact-Check Sta...
A Friday linkfest a little while back linked to a Dan Davies piece on the politics of unrealistic numbers. Davies piece critiques the British government’s claim that a few tweaks t...
Claims tourist numbers to Ireland fell by 32% between 2019 and 2025 have been widely shared online.
Scott Cunningham writes: You’ll appreciate this I think. I ran Claude code on 96 specs for a popular difference-in-difference estimator with the identical specifications, ranging c...
A frequent commenter pointed me to this paper, “Sport and longevity: an observational study of international athletes.” All I can say is . . . Wow! This paper is an absolute clinic...
US and UK stock prices are in nosebleed terrain. How far could they fall?
Just 62 per cent of Canadians believe Statistics Canada's data to be reliable, while 25 per cent do not believe the agency is free of political influence.
The most expensive number in a PR report is usually correct. It is the sentence around it that is wrong. Take share of voice going from 12 percent to 15 percent. Call that a 25 pe...
India’s statistical system once commanded respect, and its data on economic and social indicators was considered rigorous – that appears to have eroded• Don’t get This is India del...
Alpha School's growth scores aren't real. Alpha School's growth is.
It would be great to have 35% more citations and over 5 times as many downloads, but I’d rather have 2,740 Jamaican beef patties. P.S. Here’s the article in question: The ladder of...
by Tony Rucinski, Coalition for Marriage Fewer than half of all adults in England and Wales are in a man-woman marriage. However, the Office for National Statistics (ONS), which pu...
Last week we discussed SynthMargins, a method from the poster Modeling Complex Contingency Tables that uses partial information (margins) about poststratification variables. On the...
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