Latest updates for Decision Analysis

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Recent items include:

  • Decision-Making Methodology
  • The LLM Selection War Story: Part 3 - Decision Framework Through Failure Tolerance
  • The Pick-the-Winner-Picker Heuristic: Preference for Categorically Correct Forecasts

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dentalmanagers.com /1 week ago

Decision-Making Methodology

  Do you tend to make decisions swiftly? Several years ago, a dental consultant observed that I often struggled with indecision. At first, I was surprised—and honestly, a bit disco...

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dzone.com /1 month ago

The LLM Selection War Story: Part 3 - Decision Framework Through Failure Tolerance

This is Part 2 of our LLM Selection series. If you haven't read Part 1 (The Cost of Wrong Model Selection) and Part 2 (Measuring What Actually Matters), start there. This article a...

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statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu /3 weeks ago

The Pick-the-Winner-Picker Heuristic: Preference for Categorically Correct Forecasts

A couple years ago, Jay Naborn wrote: I am studying people’s preference for categorically correct forecasts (such as getting the winner of a sports game right) over error-minimizin...

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seekingalpha.com /2 weeks ago

The Pieces Of The Forecast Return Puzzle - Choose Your Values

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statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu /3 weeks ago

“An Axiomatic Foundation for Decisions with Counterfactual Utility”

Benedikt Koch, Kosuke Imai, and Tomasz Strzalecki write: Counterfactual utilities evaluate decisions not only by the realized outcome under a given decision, but also by the counte...

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statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu

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dentalmanagers.com

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