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Outpoll introduces a new global prediction market platform that enables users to trade on the outcomes of real-world events. Categories include, but are not limited to, politics, s...
Meta is entering the prediction market, but the move is more reactive than strategic, and it will be hindered by consumer distrust.
Envisioning the Future of Social Ecosystems: Luffa Anchors Next-Gen Web3 Engagement as First Social Forecasting Benchmark PolyMind Enters Open Beta
Have you noticed how often polls and experts get major events wrong? There’s a growing alternative gaining serious attention: prediction markets. Platforms like Polymarket and Kals...
The oracle is an elaborate Web 3.0 contraption that combines cryptocurrency, voting and game theory in its goal to produce fair judgments. It’s billed by its creators, a company ba...
Jeff Probst is irked about Kalshi and Polymarket.
Prediction markets have quietly become one of the most interesting corners of the tech world. From f...
Prediction markets have moved from the fringes of the internet into mainstream financial and technol...
Improving the user experience for prediction markets with AI-powered insights.Continue reading on Medium »
Prediction markets have grown rapidly in popularity in recent years, particularly in the US. We’d like to hear confidentially from people in the UK who have used themWe’d like to f...
Arin Dube points to a great illustration of the power of prediction markets. Yesterday due to a new scandal the probability that Graham Platner would drop out of the Maine Democrat...
A few weeks ago, I put together a world cup prediction app — Set Piece Picks — and I’m opening it up to the BWRAO community for the tournament. This post is mostly just a walkthrou...
The company is reportedly developing a new app similar to Polymarket and Kalshi, according to The New York Times.
The 2026 FIFA World Cup is officially underway, with games spread out between the three host nations of the United States, Canada, and Mexico. It’s a World Cup tournament of many f...
Prediction market transparency is under scrutiny as decentralized platforms like Rain Trade promote open market creation and broader user participation. Over the past several years...
On Kalshi and Polymarket, users are placing bold bets on valuations, timelines, and tickers—before OpenAI or Anthropic goes public.
Online prediction markets are taking bets on everything from climate change to quantum computing. But researchers question their accuracy
The experimental app, internally called “Arena,” would be independent of Facebook and Instagram. It could compete for attention with Polymarket and Kalshi, the biggest prediction m...
Imagine this: You wake up, check your phone, and decide to bet that the next SpaceX or Anthropic will explode in value this year. Not in some vague way, but with real money on the...
The public’s opinion on whether prediction markets offer gambling is mixed About half of those recently polled think trading on a prediction market is similar to gambling The Natio...
The company is building an app separate from Facebook and Instagram where people can wager on the outcome of real-world events, using "play money."
Qwen today launched its first AI Football Prediction Assistant for the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Users can predict match scores to earn points, with accumulated community contributions...
Platforms like Kalshi let millions wager on sports and pop culture. They’re now hoping institutions will use them for big-ticket trading like hedging.
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