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Welcome to the first post in our new GeoLog series on communicating uncertainty! Written by students from an interdisciplinary course at the University of Tübingen led by Dr. Solma...
Welcome to the second post in our GeoLog series on communicating uncertainty! Written by students from an interdisciplinary course at the University of Tübingen led by Dr. Solmaz M...
Welcome to a new series on GeoLog dedicated to one of the most critical yet frequently misunderstood aspects of research: Communicating uncertainty in science. Over the coming mont...
This is Jessica. Like many academics, I am concerned about what sort of new steady state U.S. universities will find themselves in after the dust settles on recent transitions. Nam...
I wrote this infographic yesterday. It grew out of one of the recurring conversations Jacqueline and I have about the relationship between quantum thinking, uncertainty, Read the f...
The science of handling uncertainty, anxiety and stress
Not knowing can be harder to handle than confirmed bad news. Personality science explains why and what you can do about it.
As New Scientist celebrates its 70th anniversary, climate change, AI and misinformation have heightened the need for rigorous, sceptical reporting
John “not Towering Inferno” Williams points to this new research article by Valentin Portmann et al., which states: Climate models show considerable discrepancies in their future p...
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Will you get the job? What will the medical test results show? And what’s with that ominously vague email your boss sent? Uncertainty and change have always been challenging to...
Can you reconstruct the astrophysics illustration in our interactive slide puzzle? The post Uncertainty and the random universe: a slide puzzle appeared first on Physics World.
Figure 1 (AI through Gemini) Can you suggest a Picture that will reflect the uncertainty of the global economy? As labeled, the top picture was created by AI (the red label shows m...
What makes forecasting difficult, how do we get back to more certainty, and does it even matter?
One of the qualities of being human is not-knowing with certainty. Indeed, an essential in being human is to... The post Is the Quest to Eliminate Uncertainty Morally Good? appeare...
Uncertainty about when or even if the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation, a vital ocean current, might collapse has been an excuse to ignore the risk, but that actually ma...
Not every 95% confidence interval actually delivers 95% coverage. A 3,000-month simulation study shows why the Wilson score interval provides more reliable uncertainty estimates th...
Can our “prediction machine” brains learn to handle a world in chaos?
“It still haunts me whether I prolonged his suffering or saved his life.” The physician whispered those words, as if he had been carrying that sentence inside him for decades. I ex...
The tenth in this story will never face a thermometer anyway. It is the gap between two model projections of 2100, one with an American promise and one without. Only one of those w...
A clean sample can sound stronger than it is. Someone checks a handful of items, finds no exceptions, and the sentence wants to become broader than the evidence: the process worked...
In a new publication, FAO authors argued that robust scientific evidence and clear risk communication are essential to effective food safety decision-making, and highlighted challe...
Researchers have combined neutrosophic set theory with deep feature geometry to give pretrained neural networks an interpretable, three-part measure of their own uncertainty, expos...
I came across this piece by John Ziman from 1989, in the middle of the “cold fusion” hoopla: When scientific controversies erupt like this, one must obviously try to grasp the esse...
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