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Difficulty means severe storms arrive with little warning of where or when exactly they will hit, with sometimes deadly consequences In October 2024 eastern Spain was hit by a dea...
Scientists identify a critical gap in climate models that limits confidence in forecasts of floods and droughts.
Great video by Peter Ridd
RCP8.5 is mostly dead, let's hope it becomes truly dead. The post RIP Doomsday Model RCP8.5 – A Quiet but Profound Shift in Climate Science appeared first on Watts Up With That?.
Computer models that use artificial intelligence (AI) cannot forecast record-breaking weather as well as traditional... The post Traditional models still ‘outperform AI’ for extrem...
Building Earth is a new interactive map that explains how the Earth's climate has developed over millions of years through the lens of physics. The map strips the planet back to it...
Seasonal climate models are indicating the possible development of a strong El Niño event during 2026, with forecasts pointing to shifts in global temperature and rainfall patterns...
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Die Arktis ist ein empfindlicher Teil des globalen Klimasystems. Veränderungen wirken dort oft schneller und über die Region hinaus.
Hundreds of scientists in dozens of institutions are embarking on the next phase of the... The post Guest post: How CMIP7 will shape the next wave of climate science appeared first...
This is a re-post from The Climate Brink Back in December I provided some initial projections of where both 2026 and 2027 global mean surface temperatures might end up. A lot has h...
Klimamodeller spår ekstremhete i år. Det kan ramme global matproduksjon.
This is a re-post from Staying Curious by Dean Rovang This post presents two figures that are the culmination of an extended effort to build the strongest possible empirical case f...
A new model shows how levels of the “atmosphere’s detergent” may rise and fall in response to climate change.
Climate models are uncertain about how strong El Nino will be, but a moderate-to-strong event is still possible
Environment Canada to use AI in new weather forecasting model | CBC News
Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach (@WEschenbach on X, and my blog is here.) You might have read about RCP8.5, which is now called SSP5-8.5. It is the most extreme future… The post S...
This is a re-post from And Then There's Physics If you’ve been paying attention to the climate debate on social media you might have noticed the RCP8.5 debate rearing it’s ugl...
I tried to predict air pollution. The simplest model almost won. Then cross-validation showed me what was really going on.Continue reading on Medium »
The spherical cow has its place. The trouble begins when the spherical cow is wheeled out of the lab and presented to the public as if it were a real cow, and then wheeled into the...
It appears there is an upcoming film, Pressure, whose meteorologist main character deals…Tags: forecasting, movie, uncertainty
For nearly 20 years, a hidden assumption inside a climate computer model has been scaring the hope for a good future out of your children. Last week, the scientists behind […] The...
The fallout from the recent Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) ruling that computer model high emissions pathway RCP8.5 is “implausible” is only just beginning. The...
Open access notables Unprecedented 2024 East Antarctic winter heatwave driven by polar vortex weakening and amplified by anthropogenic warming, Tang et al., npj Climate and Atmosp...
[GroundUp] Models suggest winter storms will become less frequent but more severe
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