I recommend this book on Applied Regression and Causal Inference
This post offers two recommendations and a story. First, the recommendations. • Here’s the book referred to in the title of the post. I highly recommend it! My only regret is that...
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This post offers two recommendations and a story. First, the recommendations. • Here’s the book referred to in the title of the post. I highly recommend it! My only regret is that...
Correlation is easy and usually misleading. Causal inference is hard and usually overclaimed. On the benchmark that matters most, the…Continue reading on Towards AI »
Across the social sciences, many studies use cross-sectional designs that reveal associations but are generally unable to support direct causal claims, yet authors of such articles...
by Yunxin Shi, Lulu Pan, Yu Hu, Yongfu Yu, Guoyou Qin Amyloid-Beta 42 (ABeta42) is a key biomarker of cerebral amyloidosis in Alzheimer’s disease, and estimating its causal effect...
by Aravind Easwar, Manikandan Narayanan Distinguishing correlation from causation is a fundamental challenge in many scientific fields, including biology, especially when interven...
Why prediction-driven variable selection misses confounders and how Bayesian Adjustment for Confounding attempts to fix it. The post Why Your Best Predictive Model Gives the Wrong...
I was thinking about the above saying in the context of bad regression discontinuity analyses. Statistical methods can be characterized in terms of how they can go wrong. Some comm...
by Yushi Tang, John D. Storey We recently developed a causal inference framework and test—the Transmission Mean Test (TMT)—to identify causal genotype–phenotype relationships in p...
From the NYT: Mayor Zohran Mamdani is expected to propose linking Grand Army Plaza with Prospect Park by closing a dangerous stretch of road between them. . . . The plan would effe...
In reaction to my article with Andy King proposing post-publication review, Dan “Fast and Frugal” Goldstein writes: Your process limits information search, computation, and time so...
Miha Gazvoda shares this post with the above title and the subtitle, “Using Bayesian multilevel models to correct bias and calibrate uncertainty.” He’s using the chickens model fro...
Anjali Thomas writes: I am writing to share a paper which is a re-examination of my 2018 AJPS article entitled “Targeting Ordinary Voters or Political Elites” which was previously...
Last month we saw that the Times/Siena Poll is now using energy balancing weights (Huling & Mak, 2024). In a toy example, we saw under which outcome models these weighting meth...
My PhD models tried to explain why people engage. My industry models predict who will. The statistics barely changed. Everything around them did. The post Building Models in Two Wo...
The hidden assumptions behind the data we observe. The post What We Miss About Missing Values appeared first on Towards Data Science.
There’s a standard problem in the social sciences in moving from the results of a smaller-scale study to larger-scale applicability. Consider a program in a certain school district...
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