Eight Measures of the US Price Level
Headline CPI has risen the least since 2025M01: Figure 1: Headline CPI (bold black), chained CPI, n.s.a. (green), CPI for wage earners and clerical workers (red), CPI-ex shelter (o...
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Headline CPI has risen the least since 2025M01: Figure 1: Headline CPI (bold black), chained CPI, n.s.a. (green), CPI for wage earners and clerical workers (red), CPI-ex shelter (o...
Everyday prices nowcasted to outstripping measured CPI and subindices: Figure 1: CPI-all urban (bold black), CPI wage earners and clerical (green), CPI ex-shelter (purple), CPI cha...
Inflation down, below consensus, but we’re still above pre-War trend: Figure 1: CPI (bold bllue), WSJ July survey mean (dark blue square), core CPI (light blue), PCE deflator (bold...
Food at home prices are outpacing the CPI. Figure 1: CPI – food at home (black), January 2025 ERS forecast (inverted green triangle), January 2026 forecast (light blue square), May...
Australia's April CPI slowed to 4.2% annually, undershooting forecasts, as a fuel excise cut weighed on headline, but the trimmed mean core measure edged up to 3.4%, its highest si...
China inflation data, June 2026. I'll have more to come on this separately.CPI 1.0% y/yexpected 1.2%, prior 1.2% CPI -0.3% m/mexpected -0.2%, prior -0.1%Core CPI 1% y/yexpected 1.1...
Nowcasted June inflation will be down — but for core not down much… Figure 1: Headline PCE deflator instantaneous inflation (blue), core PCE (tan), per Eeckhout (2023), both T=12,...
As the Office for National Statistics has reported this morning: The Consumer Prices Index (CPI) rose by 2.8% in the 12 months to April 2026, Read the full article...
Prior was 4.2%CPI m/m -0.4% vs -0.1% expPrior CPI was +0.5%Unrounded -0.349%Core readings:Core y/y 2.6% vs 2.8% expectedPrior core was 2.9%Core m/m 0.0% vs +0.2% expectedPrior m/m...
Australia Melbourne Institute inflation gauge is a privately conducted survey. Its not so much focused on any more now that the Australian Bureau of Statistics produces monthly CPI...
UK inflation held at 2.8% in May 2026, below the 3.0% forecast — but services inflation surged to 3.7%, complicating the Bank of England’s rate decision Thursday.
Food prices rose at the slowest rate since December 2024 with declines in inflation for meat, cheese, vegetables and cheeseUK house price inflation has picked up while rents are ri...
From today’s U.Mich release, final 1 yr revised up from 4.5% to 4.8%, and 5 yr revised up from 3.4% to 3.9% (!). Figure 1: Year-on-Year CPI inflation (bold black), forecasted U.Mic...
A softer-than-consensus core CPI print, as Goldman is forecasting, would likely reinforce market expectations that disinflation is continuing despite the war-related energy price s...
• Severe in Niger, Kogi, Abuja, others James Emejo and Deborah Adekoya in Abuja The Consumer Price Index (CPI), which measures the rate of change in prices of goods and
The core-core at 1.9% against a 1.8% forecast is the most significant number in the release for BOJ watchers, as it is the measure the board treats as the clearest read on underlyi...
Retail inflation inched up to 3.93 per cent in May from 3.48 per cent in the preceding month due to higher food prices, as the impact of rising global energy prices began to affect...
UK CPI rose by 2.8% in the 12 months to April 2026, down from the 3.3% in the 12 months up to March 2026.
The May 2026 Consumer Price Index hit 4.2% year-over-year, the highest inflation reading since April 2023 and almost entirely driven by an energy price spike from the Middle East c...
Which is good insofar as we’re going to get plenty more of it (see quote here). PPI upside surprise +1.1% vs. +0.7 m/m (Bloomberg). Core slightly below consensus (+0.4% vs. +0.5%)...
Simple math suggests that tomorrow's CPI report for May will likely continue to show high inflation. To compute CPI, the BLS measures gasoline prices during the first three weeks o...
First reading under the new 2022-23 base year shows wholesale price pressures intensifying amid West Asia disruptions
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