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Australia heads towards first recession in 35 years

Business & investing: The lucky country is being buffeted by some of the most serious economic headwinds in decades

Slowdown in Australia

Given positive Q1 GDP growth (albeit with downside surprise of 0.3% vs 0.5% q/q Bloomberg consensus, vs. 0.4% Melbourne Institute nowcast), there’s been a substantial amount of com...

Recession off the cards but Australia faces dreary outlook, economists say

De-escalation of war in the Middle East has lowered oil prices and eased fears of economic downturn but households are still feeling the pinchFollow our Australia news live blog fo...

Australia's trade blows out to big deficit vs. surplus expected

Australia Trade data for May 2026. Just the data in this post.Trade Balance -AUD3018mn, largest deficit in over a decadeexpected $2175mn, prior $1791mnExports -6.9% m/m, exports o...

Australian business activity steadies in June but new orders keep falling, S&P Global says

The near-stabilisation of the composite at 49.8 is unlikely to shift RBA expectations materially on its own, but the confidence reading is a red flag: sentiment at its weakest sinc...

OECD says Australia should increase EV and renewable energy take up amid fuel crisis – as it happened

This blog is closedGet our breaking news email, free app or daily news podcastChaney said: AI companies should be able to unlock the majority of global content with a handful of in...

Australia's manufacturing PMI hits 5-month high of 51.5 in June

Australian services activity returns to growth but confidence hits 2.5-year low

The headline return to expansion is unlikely to shift RBA rate expectations much given it was driven by staffing rather than demand, with new orders now contracting for a fourth st...

Australian economic and financial markets update | RBA Chart Pack June 2026

If a picture paints a thousand words, then this collection of charts should do a pretty good job of painting the landscape as it affects our economy and our property markets. Each...

Jim Chalmers is putting a positive spin on the economy, but is Australia’s outlook grim?

The economy was slowing even before the Middle East conflict and interest rate hikes started to bite, while the boom in datacentres was a rare bright spotGet our breaking news emai...

AUD Drops as Weak Trade and Cyclone Disruptions Weigh on Q1 GDP

Australia’s weak Q1 GDP print dragged AUD lower as trade deficits and cyclone disruptions reinforced expectations for an RBA pause.

Australia Manufacturing PMI (final) 51.5 (flash reading 51.2, prior 50.7). 5 month high.

A third straight month above 50 with the index at a five-month high gives the headline print a constructive look, but the underlying mix is softer than the number suggests, with ou...

Australia May jobs preview: Banks tip 30-45k rebound as Easter distortion fades

A clean bounce in the May data, back toward the 30-45k range the major banks are forecasting, would be consistent with the RBA's existing read that the labour market is softening o...

Australia’s unemployment rate jumps to 4.5% with markets slashing chance of more interest rate hikes

Surprise rise in jobless rate will give Reserve Bank more reason to delay another interest rate hike at June meetingFollow our Australia news live blog for latest updatesGet our br...

Australia expects to gain extra US$26 billion from exports after Iran war raises prices

Australia forecasts a A$38 billion (US$26 billion) lift in its export income as commodity and energy prices rise because of the war in Iran. The nation’s resources exports are set...

Australia employment rebounds in May, jury still out on another rate hike

Australian retailers face simultaneous attacks from rising costs and falling demand

Australian retailers face simultaneous attacks from rising costs and falling demand

Australia jobs bounce masks part-time tilt and April revision as RBA August hold holds

The April revision from minus 18,600 to minus 40,700 is the number that reframes the entire report. The two-month average across April and May now sits at essentially flat, which i...

Australia unemployment jumps to 4.5% in April, highest since November 2021

Australia's unemployment rate rose unexpectedly to 4.5% in April from 4.3%, its highest since November 2021, as employment fell by 18,600 against expectations of a 17,500 gain, com...

Australia’s Rare Earth Sector

Opportunity, risk and the commitment gap

Economic and event calendar in Asia 25 June 2026 - Australian jobs report the focus

Yesterday we had a mixed bag CPI report from Australia:Australia May CPI undershoots on headline but core inflation tops forecasts at 3.6%The rising core rate keeps the next RBA me...

Airdate: Australia’s Economic Outlook

The Prime Minister and RBA Deputy Governor are headline speakers at business event hosted by Laura Jayes.

Here’s Why Australians Are Among the World’s Wealthiest

It might not feel like it when you’re at the checkout or watching your mortgage repayments rise, but Australians have quietly become some of the richest people on the planet. Accor...

Australia May CPI preview: fuel drag to mask sticky underlying inflation

The AUD and Australian rate futures will be sensitive to any upside surprise in the trimmed mean, which is the measure the RBA watches most closely for policy signals. All three ba...