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I have said for years that people misunderstand the global monetary system. It is not driven by trade balances. It is driven by capital flows and access to dollar liquidity. The di...
WARREN, Ohio – Despite geopolitical conflicts, inflation concerns and market uncertainty, the U.S. economy remains resilient as consumer spending, business investment and a stable...
On the Brink of Global Recession The economist Adam Posen on the effect of the war in Iran on the world’s economy and the darkening economic outlook for the United States. Plus: A...
A special report from the AGI Round Table Consulting Group: 🧠 We promised Phil less war talk this month (see last month’s report for comparison), so let’s get the obligatory par...
An informative and wide-ranging conversation of how economic policies can neglect, support, or impede the prosecution of war
CEA Chair (Acting) Pierre Yared (NYT): … consumer prices would “go back down” once the war ended. That, he added, would relax pressure on families, who would see wages continue to...
I recently sat down with Steve Keen to explore a deeply uncomfortable truth: the global economic system is far more fragile than mainstream economics admits. Read the full article....
Here is his home page: Ludwig Straub is a professor of economics at Harvard University. His research areas are macroeconomics and international economics. Among his topics of inter...
April existing home sales in the U.S. came in at an annualized pace of just 4.02 million units, barely rising 0.2% from March and missing expectations yet again. We are now looking...
Restoring balance to a broken global economy.
The Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge, the Personal Consumption Expenditures index, rose 0.4% in February alone and is now running at 2.8% annually, while core inflation,...
New inflation and consumer confidence numbers.
According to a report from Fox Business, Gary Shilling—the veteran forecaster renowned for accurately predicting the 1969-70 recession and subsequently fired from Merrill Lynch for...
A new model that incorporates more real world factors than standard approaches finds that tariffs can do more damage than previously thought.
A new Gallup poll shows that 55% of Americans now believe their financial situation is getting worse, the highest level recorded since Gallup began tracking the data in 2001. Even...
Output is still rising smartly according to one index (2.1% m/m annualized): Figure 1: GDP (blue bars), SPGMI monthly GDP (red), Brave-Butters-Kelley index (blue), Coincident Index...
The push toward digital currency is being framed as innovation and efficiency, but when you strip away the marketing language, what is unfolding is a structural transformation of t...
by Edward Mermelstein, Chairman at Global NYCContinue reading on Medium »
By Brandon Smith For those who haven’t followed the shifting relationship between Washington and Europe closely, something important is happening beneath the surface of ordinary di...
Monthly GDP, retail sales, ADP employment, freight services index… NBER BCDC key measures: Figure 1: Nonfarm payroll (NFP) employment preliminary benchmark revision (thin blue), NF...
A commentator on this blog called Jeremy Holmes posted this question yesterday: As a non-economist I am totally – but perhaps naively – persuaded by Read the full article...
Wolfers’s moment of clarity ultimately sent him down a road less traveled by academic economists: creating his own media company. On Wednesday, Wolfers, 53, announced that he had f...
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