Midterm Markets: Every Toss-Up Senate Seat Ahead of the 2026 Midterms
Less than three months before Election Day, the fight for the Senate is virtually even.
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Less than three months before Election Day, the fight for the Senate is virtually even.
Republicans will likely lose the midterms this year. They just have to hope it won't be the
For the third time in nine months, Virginia residents will vote in a statewide election on Tuesday.
The party out of the White House usually picks up seats, but it isn't a sure thing.
“The war in the Middle East is increasingly unpopular. So is the president as his numbers dip perilously — a common development in the sixth year of a presidency. Congressional Rep...
A new Emerson College survey of likely 2026 voters finds the Democrats with an 11-point advantage over the Republicans on the generic congressional ballot, leading 53% to 42%. Pres...
Thursday, July 23rd on RealClearPolitics - Joined by Emerson Polling Director Spencer Kimball
With an unpopular war and high prices agitating voters, members of both parties see parallels to an election cycle when Democrats romped. But a lot has changed.
Voters are going to the polls in five states to choose who will face off in November’s midterm elections. The focus is on the Michigan Senate race, but there are hundreds of contes...
Two veteran Democratic incumbents in Connecticut face strong challenges in a state primary on Tuesday.
Democrats are in position to win the House this fall while the Senate is on track to hold a 50-50 partisan split, according to a new forecast from Decision Desk HQ (DDHQ) that pain...
Just for members: The latest edition of Inside Elections. This issue delivers a sweeping update on the nation’s most competitive governor’s races, including rating changes in more...
Pew Research: “A narrow majority of Americans (55%) are confident that this November’s midterm elections will be conducted fairly and accurately – down from 61% ahead of the 2024 e...
The second term of US President Donald Trump is fast approaching another milestone, with the 2026 midterms scheduled for Tuesday, November 3rd. Trump’s Republican Party is braced f...
Given partisan polarization on climate change and other environmental issues, the composition of Congress makes a big impact. We’re three months from election day. This post scopes...
More key midterm matchups are set after six states held primaries on Tuesday. CBS News' Jarred Hill reports on the results and CBS News political reporter Zak Hudak breaks down som...
“Nate Silver said the predictions markets are underestimating the Democrats in the 2026 midterms, especially when it comes to winning back control of the House of Representatives,”...
Democrats are in position to win the House this fall while the Senate is on track to hold a 50-50 partisan split, according to a new forecast from Decision Desk HQ (DDHQ) that pain...
Kalshi’s midterm markets offer a useful lesson in correlation, and in why an apparent pricing inconsistency is not automatically an arbitrage opportunity. On July 24, Kalshi tra...
Florida voters will select nominees Tuesday to replace term-limited Republican Gov. Ron DeSantis and to complete the remainder of Secretary of State Marco Rubio's unexpired U.S. Se...
The similarities are obvious, but the environment is different.
The first half of the 2026 primary season has seen progressives - and Trump - win big.
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